Copyrights to papers in the Duke Economics Working Paper Archive remain with the authors or their assignees. Archive users may download papers and produce them for their own personal use, but downloading of papers for any other activity, including reposting to other electronic bulletin boards or archives, may not be done without the written consent of the authors. It is the authors' responsibility to notify the archive managers when they wish to have the paper removed.

Duke Economics Working Paper #95-52

Do Contingent Valuation Estimates Pass a "Scope" Test?
A Meta Analysis


V. Kerry Smith
and
Laura Osborne

Abstract

This paper considers two tests proposed to judge the internal consistency of contingent valuation estimates. Both tests are quite sensitive to the maintained hypotheses required to derive fairly precise expectations for the properties of WTP functions. This result suggests a different approach may be needed in gauging the reliability of CV. This paper describes an alternative approach that relies on a weight of the evidence criterion and uses meta analysis to develop a systematic appraisal of what are the economic values of changes in amenity resources. The approach is illustrated for the case of estimating people's willingness to pay for improving (or maintaining) visibility at the national parks.

Published in Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Vol. 31, No. 3, November 1996, pp. 287-301.