Economics at Duke

Volume 14, Number 2, Summer, 1993


In This Issue


Weintraub Appointed Acting Dean of Faculty

Economics Professor E. Roy Weintraub has been named acting dean of the faculty of arts and sciences for Duke University.

Weintraub assumed the post July 1, succeeding S. Malcolm Gillis, who left Duke to become president of Rice University.

According to Duke Provost Thomas Langford, who made the appointment, Weintraub is "a distinguished teacher and scholar and a seasoned academic administrator whose leadership within the faculty will serve arts and sciences and the university well."

Weintraub served as chairman of Duke's Academic Council for two terms, and he was served as faculty representative on such committees as the president's Advisory Committee on Resources, the provost's Academic Priorities Committee, and the Long-Range Planning Steering Committee.

"Roy is ideally suited to lead the faculty during this critical transition period while we conduct a national search," Langford said. "President (Nan) Keohane and I are delighted that Roy has agreed to serve.'

Weintraub said he welcomed the challenge. "I'm very pleased to have been invited to lead Duke's distinguished arts and sciences faculty in this interesting and challenging period of institutional growth and change," he said. "Dean Gillis and Provost Langford have worked closely to set out a clear course for the future of arts and sciences at Duke. I look forward to building on these efforts and welcome the opportunity to work with my faculty colleagues, the provost, and President Keohane during what surely will be an important transitional time for Duke."

Weintraub has been a member of the Economics Department faculty since 1970. He chaired the department from 1983 to 1987.


James M. Henderson, Research Professor, Dies

James Henderson, Research Professor of Economics, died October 5, 1992, in Duke University Hospital of cancer. He was 62.

Dr. Henderson, husband of Duke Economics Professor Anne Krueger, joined the Duke faculty in 1986 after leaving the World Bank, where for three years he had been senior economist in the bank's Economic Development Institute. Prior to that, he was a professor of economics at the University of Minnesota from 1959 to 1983.

Henderson's research maintained two consistent focuses throughout his career: resource concerns and quantitative methods for addressing them. He authored with Richard Quandt an innovative textbook, Microeconomic Theory: A Mathematical Approach, in 1958, which quickly became a standard for the modern treatment of macroeconomic theory. It was a godsend to generations of graduate students preparing for qualifying examinations, went through three editions and was translated into six major languages.

Henderson adapted linear programming and input-output models to the problems of regional development and later international trade and growth problems. In recent years he worked on policies and their effects on trade and growth, exploring the use of computable general equilibrium models to this end.

He brought to every question a sharply analytical mind and almost invariably adopted a perspective that was both refreshingly novel and clear.

In addition to his wife, Henderson is survived by a brother, Mr. John Kingston Coward of San Diego.


De Marchi Assumes Economics Chair

Professor Neil De Marchi took over the Chair of the Economics Department for a three-year term in August 1992.

A former Rhodes Scholar, De Marchi earned his Ph.D. from the Australian National University. He first joined the Economics faculty in 1971.

According to De Marchi, the Department finds itself at a point where serious rebuilding will be necessary following recent faculty losses. Hiring therefore will be "a major focus of energies." In addition, the Department will be looking at possible modifications to the Undergraduate Major and at the nature and role of the core in the Graduate Program.


Usenet Newsgroup Created

Sci.econ.research, a moderated Usenet newsgroup intended to disseminate the results of current research to economists on the Internet, was established in June 1993 by the Duke Economics Department.

The newsgroup will be moderated by Forrest Smith, senior editorial assistant at Duke Economics. The newsgroup will be archived at sunsite.unc.edu.


Tauchen Named Editor of JBES

George Tauchen has been appointed editor of the Journal of Business and Economic Statistics (JBES), the leading journal publishing applied work in business and economic statistics.

To devote full attention to his editorial responsibilities, Tauchen will no longer serve as associate editor of Econometrica or the Journal of Theoretical Econometrics.

A publication of the American Statistical Association, the JBES was started ten years ago by Arnold Zellner to provide a forum for applied problems in business and economic statistics.

The JBES publishes articles on a broad range of topics including empirical policy evaluation, applied demand and cost analysis, measurement of output and employment, forecasting, fluctuations, analysis of survey and longitudinal data, econometric modeling, empirical marketing, and other applied business and statistics problems. Two recent special sections in the journal were devoted to regime-switching models and the "back to basics' approach of using simple statistical methods and natural experiments for policy evaluation.

Tauchen, who previously served as associate editor for the journal, replaces John Geweke as its head.


Educational Odyssey Brings Yang from China to Duke

Dennis Yang joined the Department of Economics faculty in August 1992.

A student of Nobel laureate Gary Becker at the University of Chicago, Yang's dissertation studied knowledge spillovers within farming families. The data from China suggest knowledge acquired by one family member can be shared with other family members leading to increased productive efficiency at little or no cost to the sharing individual. Under current economic conditions in China, farm production is based on the individual family unit.

A native of China, Yang came to the United States as a result of an indirect educational route.

Yang's parents, who work in the Chinese Aviation Administration, "went to the countryside" as part of the Cultural Revolution when Yang was a young child.

In 1978, the Chinese educational system was revamped as part of the national reforms. A consequence of the reforms was the institution of rigorous merit examinations to determine which high schools students would attend. Yang did well on his exams and was assigned to one of eight "special" schools in Beijing.

Yang's educational odyssey began in high school, when he was selected as one of two students from his school to attend a pilot multi-national high school program in Italy, sponsored by the World Bank.

Following high school, Yang came to the United States, where he attended George Washington for one semester before transferring to UCLA. He graduated from UCLA two years later, then moved on to do graduate studies at the University of Chicago.

Yang currently teaches Intermediate Microeconomic Theory and a new undergraduate/graduate course on the Chinese economy.

Yang said the course on the Chinese economy aims to explain the evolution of the Chinese economic system since 1949. The Chinese growth of the Chinese economy during that period can be broken into two eras, he said, one from the takeover by Mao Tse-Tung prior in 1949, the second beginning in 1978.

Since 1978, the Chinese economy has moved up "to another level of economic growth." The share of private enterprise in the Chinese economy has been increasing, according to Yang, to the point that it now provides over 50% of total Chinese GNP.

Although there has been some decline in economic growth over the past few years, Yang said he expects there is too much momentum for progress for China to return to its old ways.


Wallace Shifts Autumn Venue

Professor T. Dudley Wallace will spend seven weeks of the Fall 1993 semester in Moscow.

Wallace will teach macroeconomic and econometric topics at the New School of Economics. The New School of Economics is in its second year. It offers a program of graduate studies in economics and is sponsored jointly by Harvard University and the World Bank.

During the previous three Fall semesters, Wallace taught in China. In 1992, he taught at the Johns Hopkins/Nanjing Center for American-Chinese Studies, in Nanjing.

At the program in Nanjing, half the students and half the faculty are Chinese, and the other half are American. The American students take courses from the Chinese faculty, taught in Chinese, while the Chinese students take courses, taught in English, from the American faculty.

Wallace described the program at Nanjing as "cozy," as all the participants study and live under one roof.


Duke Economics Grants 18 New Doctoral Degrees

The Department of Economics at Duke awarded 18 doctoral degrees in 1992 and, thus far, in 1993. The new Ph.D.'s from Duke, their new places of employment, and their thesis titles and supervisors are:

Guillermo J. Aboumrad: Banco de Mexico, International Division; "Oil Prices and the Real Business Cycle: The Case of Mexico" (Kent P. Kimbrough).

Sheila Amin: Assistant Professor, University of Arkansas; 'Externalities in the Export Sector and Long Run Growth: An Empirical Analysis of the Flower and Fruit Industries in Colombia" (Kent P. Kimbrough).

David Anderson: Assistant Professor, Centre College, Kentucky; "Optimal Compensation Systems" (W. Kip Viscusi).

Martin Cerisola: Economist, International Monetary Fund; "Essays on Black Market Spot and Futures Exchange Rates: The Case of Argentina 1985-1989" (Kent P. Kimbrough).

Peter Dohlman: "The U.S.-Japan Semiconductor Trade Arrangement: Political Economy, Game Theory, and Welfare Analyses" (Anne O. Krueger).

Mark K. Dreyfus: Senior Analyst, NERA, Cambridge, Mass.; Consumer Discounting Behavior and the Value of a Statistical Life Revealed in Household Automobile Holdings (W. Kip Viscusi).

Anne Forrest: Economist, Environmental Law Institute, Washington, D.C.; "Consumer Responses to Risk Information" (W. Kip Viscusi).

Christopher Giosa: Manager, Office of Federal Tax Services, Arthur Andersen and Co., S.C., Washington, D.C.; "The Opportunity Cost of Capital in the United States" (Robert Conrad)

Alison Hagy- Postdoctoral Fellow, Carolina Population Center, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill; "Child Care Quality: Hedonic Prices, Demand, and the Effects of Government Subsidization" (Marjorie B. McElroy).

Bridget Heidemann: Postdoctoral Fellow, Center for the Study of Aging and Human Development, Duke; "Retirement Decisions in Dual Career Households: Development and Estimation of a Stackelberg Model" (Marjorie B. McElroy).

Jane Ordovensky: Assistant Professor, University of the Pacific; "The Role of Community Colleges in the Post Secondary Enrollment Choice in Educational Attainment of Recent High School Graduates" (Charles Clotfelter).

David Orsmond: Economist, International Monetary Fund; "How Well Does the Black Market Premium Proxy the Restrictiveness of a Trade Regime?" (Anne O. Krueger).

Dixie Watts Reaves: Assistant Professor, Virginia Tech; "Valuing an Endangered Species and Its Habitat: An Application of the Contingent Valuation Method" (Randall Kramer and Marjorie McElroy.)

Allison Watts: Assistant Professor, Vanderbilt University; 'Essays in Economics and Law from a Game Theoretic Perspective" (Hervé Moulin)

David Weaver: Economist, Division of Economic Research, Social Security Administration; "Labor Force Participation and the Demand for Health Care by the Elderly' (James Baumgardner).

Natalie Webb: Assistant Professor of Economics, Defense Resources Management Institute, Monterey, California; "Company Foundations and the Economics of Corporate Giving" (Charles T. Clotfelter).

Christian Weber: Visiting Assistant Professor, University of Seattle; "The Economics of Fertility when Children Are Consumer's and Producer's Goods" (Allen C. Kelley).

Shawn M. Welch: Instructor, Duke University; "Essays on the Collapse of a Fixed Exchange Rate Regime" (Kent P. Kimbrough).


Two Young Russian Students Emigrate to Duke

A young Russian couple, Anastasia and Daniel Avrutsky, have enrolled as economics majors at Duke.

The two were students at Moscow State University and were enrolled in Professor Vladimir Treml's macroeconomics course there in 1992.

Faced with a rising tide of anti-Semitic discrimination, the Avrutskies sought political asylum in the United States. They join several of Daniel's family members who now reside in the Durham area.

Daniel's family split up in 1919. One branch stayed in the Soviet Union, while the other emigrated to the U.S. An uncle, Jacques Poirier, is Duke Emeritus Professor of Chemistry.

Daniel's family is now all in Durham. "We joined my family, and found a wonderful place to study," Daniel said.

According to Anastasia, whose father, a physicist, is currently working in Paris, "anti-Semitism is getting worse." The Jews are traditionally blamed for everything in Russia. "In 1917, the Jews were blamed for introducing communism,' she said. "Now they are being blamed for the dissolution of the Soviet Union."


Miscellaneous Notes and News

Snellings Fund Established

The Economics Department at Virginia Commonwealth University has established the Eleanor C. Snellings Scholarship in Economics to be awarded annually to a rising senior majoring in economics.

Professor Snellings, who retired in June, 1992, received her Ph.D. from Duke in 1959.

Yohe Chairs AEA Session

Professor William P. Yohe chaired a session at the January, 1993, AEA meetings in Anaheim, California, on computer aided instruction in economics.

Gallant Leaves NCSU

A. Ronald Gallant, Adjunct Professor of Economics at Duke, has resigned his position on the faculty at North Carolina State University. Gallant has accepted an appointment as Latane Professor of Economics at UNC-Chapel Hill.

The informal arrangement which Gallant has had with the department as adjunct professor has now been formalized into a renewable-term contract. He will continue his long-established schedule of spending Thursdays in the Social Sciences Building.

Dohlman Wins Burger Fellowship

Peter Dohlman has been named recipient of the first Robert M. Burger Fellowship under the SRC/Ed- ucation Alliance Fellowships Program.

Weintraub Wins Distinguished Teaching Award

Professor E. Roy Weintraub was selected as the 1991-92 recipient of the Howard Johnson Distinguished Teaching Award.

In 1984, the Howard Johnson Foundation made one of the first major gifts to Duke's Capital Campaign for the Arts and Sciences. Perceiving a need for quality undergraduate instruction, the Foundation recommended that its gift be designated to support "those faculty members whose teaching is known to inspire confidence in, and respect for, the highest traditions of American democracy and free enterprise and western civilization."

The award carries with it a stipend of $3,000.

Kimbrough Serves as Acting Chair

Professor Kent Kimbrough is serving as Acting Chair of the Department of Economics while Neil de Marchi spends the summer in Europe.

Moulin Organizes Choice Meeting

Professor Hervé Moulin in June organized the first meeting of the Society, "Social Choice and Welfare," in Caen, Normandy, France. Moulin, who is spending the year at the Universitis d'Aix-Marseille, as chair of the program committee organized 150 lectures for the four-day meeting. The conference was assisted by $50,000 from the Olin Foundation, Duke University, and various European agencies.

Regents Tap Krueger

Professor Anne O. Krueger was appointed a member of the New York State Regents Commission on Higher Education for 1992-93.

Gentry Honored

Professor William Gentry was awarded a Lilly Endowment Teaching Fellowship for 1992-93.

In addition, Gentry has been named as a Faculty Research Fellow of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Viscusi Gives Olin Lecture

Professor W. Kip Viscusi delivered the Olin Lecture at Washington University in St. Louis. The topic of Viscusi's lecture was "Pricing Environmental Risks.'

Weintraub visits Italy

Professor E. Roy Weintraub spent the Fall 1992 semester as Cassa di Risparmio di Venezia Visiting Professor of Economics at the University of Venice, ca Foscari. While in Italy, he gave a set of lectures to undergraduates at the University of Venice, and faculty seminars there, and at the Universities of Milan, Rome, and Bologna.

While in Italy, Weintraub completed two papers on Formalist Mathematics and Economic Theory. His paper on Griffith C. Evans will be presented at the World Congress of the History of Science Society in Zaragosa, Spain, next year.

Marshall On Leave

Professor Robert C. Marshall spent the Spring 1993 semester on leave from Duke. In February, he visited the Department of Economics at the University of Pittsburgh. In March, he traveled to the University of Minnesota, where he taught during the Spring quarter.


Economics Department Shares Faculty Resources

A number of joint appointments have been made this year involving the faculty of the Department of Economics.

William Gentry, Assistant Professor of Economics, has been awarded a joint appointment with the Terry Sanford Institute for Public Policy. Gentry, who joined the Economics Department in 1990, specializes in public finance.

Four other Duke faculty members, Vijaya Ramachandran, Randy Kramer, Ravi Bansal, and Jim Leitzel, have received joint appointments in Economics.

Ramachandran is a Faculty Fellow in the Center for International Development Research and a Visiting Assistant Professor of Public Policy Studies in the Terry Sanford Institute. She received her Ph.D. in Business Economics in 1991 from Harvard. Her paper, "Another Look at the Resource Cost of Technology Transfer," will appear in the Review of Economics and Statistics.

Kramer is an Associate Professor in the School of the Environment. He received his Ph.D. from the University of California, Davis, in 1980, and has been at Duke since 1988. He this year became the first director of undergraduate studies for the new major in Environmental Studies and Policy. Among the courses Kramer teaches are two cross-listed courses, "Resource and Environmental Economics," a larger survey course, and "Advanced Environmental Economics," a seminar. He has a number of recent publications, including a co-authored article in Agricultural Economics, "Choice of Utility Functional Form: Its Effect on Classification of Risk Preferences and the Prediction of Farmer Decisions"; and a co-authored chapter, "Agricultural Resource Policy," in G.A. Carlson, ed., Agricultural and Environmental Resource Economics, forthcoming from Oxford University Press.

Bansal, Assistant Professor in the Fuqua School of Business, came to Duke in 1990. He teaches a course for graduate students in stochastic macroeconomics.

Leitzel is Associate Professor in the Terry Sanford School for Public Policy Studies. He received his Ph.D. in Economics from Duke in 1986, then taught for three years at Vanderbilt University before returning to Duke in 1988. He has recently published "Collusion and Rent Seeking" (with Michael Alexeev), Public Choice, and "Reliance and Contract Breach," Law and Contemporary Problems.


Chinese Economists Discuss Reforms

A panel of leading Chinese Economists participated in a panel discussion held at Duke in March, 1993. The presentation was sponsored by the Department of Economics (Johnson Fund for Undergraduate Studies), and the Asian/Pacific Studies Institute. Professor Dennis T. Yang coordinated the event.

The panel included Mr. Wu Jinglian, Standing Director, Development Research Center of the State Council; Mr. Guo Shuqing, Director, Economic Research Center, State Planning Commission; Mr. Zhou Xiaochuan, Executive Vice President, Bank of China; and Mr. Lou Jiwei, Director, Macroeconomic Department, State Commission of Restructuring Economic system.


Duke Distributes Map-Stat Program

Kim Neuhauser, a Ph.D. candidate in economics studying under Professor Vladimir Treml, is acting as American distributor for AVISTA, a statistical mapping program for the 15 former Soviet republics.

The program, developed by Yuri Leibkind of the Central Institute for Mathematical Economics in Moscow, is being handled in the United States by the Center for Slavic, East European, and Eurasian Studies, of which Treml and Professor Edna Andrews are co-directors.

According to Neuhauser, AVISTA relies upon two databases: one containing standard socioeconomic and demographic statistics for each of the former Soviet republics; the other focusing specifically on Russia, with statistics at the oblast level.

The program will present its data in either map or tabular form. There are over 1000 different variables to the databases. A map of the former Soviet Union can be displayed and the desired statistics for a given region revealed.

Although the graphical representation of geographic regions is appealing and easy to understand, Newhauser said the primary focus for the program for serious researchers will be the underlying statistical information. "The program is peripheral to the database," she said. The statistics are easily ported to other database programs, and new statistics can be imported into the AVISTA.

AVISTA has been adopted by approximately 20 sites in the United States. Although it is currently only available in a Russian language version, an English version is being developed.


Faculty Activities, 1992

PUBLICATIONS

James Baumgardner: "Medicare Physician Payment Reform and the Resource-Based Relative Value Scale: A Re-Creation of Efficient Market Prices?" American Economic Review 1992.

Charles T. Clotfelter and Philip Cook: "Lotteries," in Peter Newman, Murray Milgate, and John EatwelI, eds., The New Palgrave Dictionary of Money and Finance, Macmillan Press, 1992; "The Peculiar Scale Economics of Lotto," American Economic Review (forthcoming, March 1993); "The Gambler's Fallacy in Lottery Play," Management Science (forthcoming).

A. Ronald Gallant: (with George Tauchen) "A Nonparametric Approach to Nonlinear Time Series Analysis: Estimation and Simulation," in E. Parzen, D. Brillinger, M. Rosenblatt, M. Taqqu, J. Geweke, and P. Caines, eds., New Dimensions in Time Series Analysis, Springer-Verlag, (forthcoming); (with Halbert White) "On Learning the Derivatives of an Unknown Mapping with Multilayer Feedforward Networks," Neural Networks, revised and reprinted in Halbert White, Artificial Neural Networks, Blackwell, 1992; (with Daniel F. McCaffrey, Stephen Ellner, and Douglas W. Nychka) "Estimating the Lyapunov Exponent of a Chaotic System with Nonparametric Regression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 1992; (with Peter E. Rossi and George E. Tauchen) "Stock Prices and Volume," The Review of Financial Studies, 1992; (with Douglas Nychka, Stephen Ellner, and Daniel McCaffrey) "Finding Chaos in Noisy Systems," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 1992; (with Marie Davidian) "Smooth Nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Population Pharmacokinetics, with Application to Quinidine," Journal of Pharmacokinetics and Biopharmaceutics, 1992; (with Marie Davidian) "The Nonlinear Mixed Effects Model with a Smooth Random Effects Density," Biometrika, forthcoming; (with Peter E. Rossi and George E. Tauchen) "Nonlinear Dynamic Structures," Econometrica, forthcoming.

William Gentry: "Exchange-Rate Exposure and Industry Characteristics: Evidence from Canada, Japan and the U.S." (with Gordon Bodnar), Journal of International Money and Finance (forthcoming).

Henry G. Grabowski: "The Effect of Medicaid Formularies on the Availability of New Drugs" (with Stuart Schweitzer and S. Renee Shiota), PharmacoEconomics, 1992; "Brand Loyalty, Entry and Price Competition in Pharmaceuticals after the 1984 Act" (with John Vernon), Journal of Law and Economics, 1992.

Daniel A. Graham: "Public Expenditure under Uncertainty: The Net Benefit Criteria," American Economic Review, 1992.

Thomas Havrilesky: "An Empirical Analysis of Public Choice Aspects of the S&L Disaster," in The Crisis in the Banking Industry, Lawrence White, ed. (New York University Press), 1992; "Determinants of Inflationary Performance: Corporatist Structures vs. Central Bank Autonomy" (with James Granato), Public Choice (December, 1992); "The Misapplication of Hedonic Damages to Personal Injury Litigation," in Forensic Experts (Defense Research Institute, 1993); "Partisan Monetary Policies: Presidential Influence through the Power of Appointment" (with Henry Chappell and Rob McGregor), Quarterly Journal of Economics (forthcoming, 1993); The Pressures on American Monetary Policy (Kluwer, 1992).

Anne O. Krueger: Swimming against the Tide: Turkish Trade Reform in the 1990s (with Okan H. Aktan), ICS Press, 1992; The Political Economy of Agricultural Price Intervention in Latin America (with Maurice Schiff and Alberto Valdés, in collaboration with Jorge Quiroz), ICS Press, 1992; Turkey: Trade Reforms in the 1980s (with Okan H. Aktan), ICS, 1992; Economic Policy Reform in Developing Countries, Basil Blackwell, 1992; The Political Economy of Agricultural Price Policy, series editor (with Maurice Schiff and Alberto Valdés, 5 volumes, The Johns Hopkins University Press: Vol. 3: Africa and the Mediterranean, editor with Maurice Schiff and Alberto Valdés, 1991; Vol. 4: A Synthesis of the Economics in Developing Countries, by Maurice Schiff and Alberto Valdés, 1992; Vol. 5: A Synthesis of the Political Economy in Developing Countries, author, 1992); The Political Economy of Tax Reform, editor with Takatoshi Ito, NBER-East Asia Seminar in Economics, Volume 1, University of Chicago Press, 1992; "Theory and Practice of Commercial Policy: 1945-1990," in Herbert Giersch, editor, Money, Trade, and Competition: Essays in Memory of Egon Sohmen, Springer Veriag, 1992; "Institutions for the New Private Sector," in The Emergence of Market Economies in Eastern Europe (IRIS Prague Conference volume), Basil Blackwell, 1992; "Capital Movements and Trade in a Dynamic Perspective," in Horst Siebert, ed., Capital Flows in the World Economy, Kiel Institute of World Economics, Tübingen, J.C.B. Mohr (Paul Siebeck), 1991; "Global Trade Prospects for the Developing Countries," The World Economy, Vol. 15, No. 4, July 1992, pp. 457-474; "Economic Techniques and Economic Policy," (with A. Hershberger, J. W. Fox, and S. Edwards), Contemporary Policy Issues, Vol. X, No. 3, July 1992, pp. 1-15; "Government, Trade, and Economic Integration," AEA Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 82, No. 2, May 1992, pp. 109-114. Book reviews: Bhagwati, Jagdish, and Hugh T. Patrick, Aggressive Unilateralism: America's 301 Trade Policy and the World Trading System, in The World Economy, Vol. 14, No. 4, December, 1991, pp. 493- 494; Whalley, John, ed., Developing Countries and the Global Trading System (2 vols.), in Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. XXX, March, 1992, pp. 25-27; Pantojas-Garcia, Emilio, Development Strategies as Ideology: Puerto Rico's Export-led Industrialization Experience, and Schwartz, Hugh H., ed., Supply and Marketing Constraints on Latin American Manufacturing Exports, in Economic Development and Cultural Change, Vol. 41, No. 1, October, 1992, pp. 219-224.

Robert C. Marshall: (with Jean-Francois Richard and Gary A. Zarkin), "Posterior Probabilities of the Independence Axiom with Non-Experimental Data," Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 1992; (with Michael J. Meurer and Jean-Francois Richard), "The Private Attorney General Meets Public Contract Law. Procurement Oversight by Protest," Hofstra Law Review, 1991; (with Michael J. Meurer, Jean-Francois Richard, and Walter Stromquist), "Numerical Analysis of Asymmetric First Price Auctions," Games and Economic Behavior, forthcoming.

Michael Meurer: "Informative Advertising and Product Match" (with Dale Stahl), International Journal of Industrial Organization (forthcoming); "Numerical Analysis of Asymmetric First Price Auctions" (with Robert Marshall and Jean-Francois Richard), Games and Economic Behavior 1992; "The Gains from Faith in an Unfaithful Agent Settlement Conflicts between Defendants and Liability Insurers," Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 1992.

Hervé Moulin: "Implementing a Public Project and Distributing Its Costs" (with Matthew Jackson), Journal of Economic Theory 57, 1, 125-140, 1992; "All Sorry to Disagree: A General Principle for the Provision of Non-Rival Goods," Scandinavian Journal of Economics 94, (1), 37-51, 1992; "Welfare Bounds in the Cooperative Production Problem," Games and Economic Behavior 4, 373-401, 1992; "Serial Cost Sharing" (with Scott Shenker), Econometrica 60, 5, 1009-1037; "An Application of the Shapley Value to Fair Division with Money," Econometrica 60, 6, 1331-1349, 1992.

Thomas Naylor: "The Living Dead" (with Magdalena R. Naylor), New Oxford Review, September 1992.

George Tauchen: "A Nonparametric Approach to Nonlinear Time Series Analysis: Estimation and Simulation" (with A. R. Gallant), in E. Parzen, De. Brillinger, M. Rosenblatt, M. Taqqu, J. Geweke, and P. Caines (eds)., New Dimensions in Time Series Analysis, Springer-Verlag, 1992; "Stock Prices and Volume" (with Peter E. Rossi and A. R. Gallant), Review of Financial Studies, 1992; Nonparametric and Semiparametric Methods in Econometrics and Statistics (co-edited with William A. Barnett and James Powell), Cambridge University Press, 1992.

John Vernon: (with Henry Grabowski) "Brand Loyalty, Entry and Price Competition in Pharmaceuticals after the 1984 Drug Act," Journal of Law and Economics, 1992; (with W. Kip Viscusi and Joseph Harrington) Economics of Regulation and Antitrust, D.C. Heath, 1992.

W. Kip Viscusi: Economics of Regulation and Antitrust (with John Vernon and Joseph E. Harrington, Jr.), D.C. Heath & Co., 1992; Informational Approaches to Regulation (with Wesley A. Magat), Regulation of Economic Activity Series No. 19, MIT Press, 1992; Fatal Tradeoffs: Public and Private Responsibilities for Risk, Oxford University Press, 1992; Smoking: Making the Risky Decision, Oxford University Press, 1992; "Age Variations in Risk Perceptions and Smoking Decisions," Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 73, No, 4, 1991; "A Principled Basis for Product Liability Reform," Journal of Regulation and Social Costs, Vol. 1, No. 4, Nov. 1991; "Utility-Based Valuations of Health" (with William Evans), American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 73, No. 5, Dec. 1991; "Implications of Global Change Uncertainties: Agricultural and Natural Resource Policies," in J. Reilly and M. Anderson, eds., Economic Issues in Global Climate Change: Agriculture, Forestry, and Natural Resources, Westview Press, 1992; "Occupational Safety and Health in the 1990s," in Daniel Bromley, ed., The Social Response to Environmental Risk: Policy Formulation in an Age of Uncertainty, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992; "Social Insurance in Market Contexts: Implications of the Structure of Workers' Compensation for Job Safety and Wages" (with Michael J. Moore), in G. Dionne, ed., Insurance Economics, Kluwer Academic Publishers, 1992; "Bayesian Decisions with Ambiguous Belief Aversion" (with Wesley A. Magat), Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 5, No. 4, 1992. Book Reviews: Reinventing Rationality by Thomas Garity, and Risky Business by Elaine Draper, in Journal of Policy Analysis & Management Vol. I 1, No. 4, 1992.

E. Roy Weintraub: Towards a History of Game Theory (editor), Duke University Press, 1992; General Equilibrium Analysis: Studies in Appraisal (paperback reissue), forthcoming 1993, University of Michigan Press.

William P. Yohe: Computer Exercises: Microeconomics (manual and software), Boston: Allyn & Bacon, 1992; "A Quarterly Model of the U.S. Economy During and After World War I" (with James L. Butkiewicz), Economic Modelling (January, 1993, forthcoming); Interactive Monetary Economics, Basil Blackwell (forthcoming, 1993).

TRAVELS

James Baumgardner: presented "What Is a Specialist, Anyway?" University of Virginia, April, and at Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland, November; discussant, Third Annual Health Economics Workshop, Johns Hopkins University, May; discussant, "Comparative Aspects of Health Economics," Allied Social Sciences Associations annual meeting, Anaheim, January 1993; presented "Measurement of Practice Styles in an Optimization Context," University of North Carolina, December.

Edwin Burmeister: presented "Using the APT to Control Portfolio Risks," Quantitative Investment Management Conference, New York City, October; chaired session on Empirical Methods in Finance, conference on Financial Economics and Accounting, New York University, November.

Philip Cook: President's Distinguished Lecture Series, "The Technology of Personal Violence," Carnegie Mellon University, October 1991; "The Increasing Concentration of Top Students at Elite Universities," Hosei University, Tokyo, Japan, May.

William Gentry: presented "Taxes, Financial Decisions, and Organizational Form: Evidence from Publicly Traded Partnerships," American Finance Association, New Orleans, January, and Tax Policy Research Symposium, University of Michigan, April; "Capital Gains, Taxes and Realizations: Evidence from Interstate Comparisons," University of Maryland, March, Syracuse University, April, and American Winter Meeting of the Econometric Society, Anaheim, January 1993.

Henry G. Grabowski: presented "Innovative Structure and Performance of the Pharmaceutical Industry," Second International Conference on the Economics of Innovation, University of Milan, Piacenza, Italy, June; "Pharmaceuticals and Health Care Costs," International Health Care Forum on Health Care Policy and the Pharmaceutical Industry, Gotemba, Japan, October; "Innovation in Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology," American Economic Association Meetings, Anaheim, January, 1993.

Thomas Havrilesky: testified before Congress on monetary policy, July; attended WEA conference, San Francisco, July; AEA conference, Anaheim, January, 1993.

Allen C. Kelley: visited Ghana as part of a United Nations team assisting in the University of Ghana Program in Economic Demography.

Anne O. Krueger: Instituto Tecnologico y de Estudios Superiores de Monterey, Symposium on the Competitive Position of the North American bloc, November 1991, panelist; AID 1991 Economists Conference, "What's Happening in Trade? An Overview of Directions and Issues in Trade," Durham, November 1991; presented "Issues in Policy Reform in Developing Countries," and chaired "The International Economy after the Uruguay Round," Southern Economic Association annual conference, Nashville, November 1991; chair, National Science Foundation Task Force on International Economic Trends and their Effects on the Environment (Global Warming), Washington, D.C., December 1991; testified before U.S. House regarding international trade and international product standards, Washington, D.C., March; member of committee to visit Department of Economics, Harvard, March; presented "The Trade Blocs and the Bush Initiative," International Center for Economic Growth Fourth Regional Conference with Latin American Corresponding Institutes, Panama City, Panama, March; presented "Trade Policy in Developing Countries: Lessons for Ecuador and the Andean Pact Countries," Central American Institute of Business Administration, Quito, Ecuador, March; presented annual Alice E. Bourneuf Lecture, "The Political Economy of Economic Policy in Developing Countries," Boston College, March; member of panel on critical global business and economic issues, focusing on Mexico's emerging power, UCLA Graduate School of Management Board of Visitors Annual Management Retreat, April; George Mason University Center for Study of Public Choice, "Political Economy of U.S. Trade," April; co-organizer, Third Annual East Asian Seminar on Economics, co-sponsored by National Bureau of Economic Research, Korea Development Institute, and Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research, Sapporo, Japan, June; US Information Agency Teleconference, "Latin America Facing Economic Changes," Washington, D.C., June; moderator, "Foreign Direct Investment: Policies that Attract Investors," CNN World Economic Development Congress, September; presented "Free Trade Agreements as Protectionist Devices," at John Chipman's 65th birthday celebration, University of Minnesota, September; presented "The Effects of Regional Trading Blocks on World Trade," University of Texas at Austin conference on "NAFTA, the Pacific, and Australia/New Zealand," October; presented "Policy Lessons from Development Experience since the Second World War," First Asian Development Bank Conference on Development Economics, Manila, Philippines, October.

Robert C. Marshall: presented work on federal procurement, The Fortieth Eastern Briefing Conference on Government Contracts, Washington, D.C., 1992; discussant, "A Forum on Potential Changes to the Treasury's Auction Technique," Washington, D.C., June; presented new work on collusion at federal procurements, "Markets as Games," sponsored by Commission of the European Communities, September; presented work on collusion at federal procurements, numerical analysis of auctions, Winter meetings of the Econometric Society, Anaheim, 1993.

Michael Meurer: presented papers at Summer Econometric Meetings, American Law and Economics Association meetings, Stonybrook Game Theory Conference, New York University, University of Pennsylvania.

Hervé Moulin: presented two seminars, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, April; participated in the Summer School on Economic Theory, Tel Aviv, Israel; attended conference "Markets as Games," CORE, Belgium, September; "The Next Ten Years in Economics," University of Marseille, France, September; invited speaker at the Malinvaud economics seminar, Paris, November; conference on "Equity and absence of envy," Université Catholique de Louvain, Belgium, December.

Thomas Naylor: Visited as Board Member of Christian Children's Fund Guatemala, March; researched Alpine village communities in Switzerland, Italy, and Austria, June, for chapter, "The Longing for Community," in The Search for Meaning; lectured at North Carolina State University and the University of the South.

George Tauchen: Conference on the use of supercomputers in economics, University of Texas at Austin, May; Meeting of the Society for Economic Dynamics and Control, Montreal, May; meeting of the Western Finance Association, San Francisco, June; Summer Meeting of the Econometric Society, Seattle, June; Conference on Large Scale Computing in Economics, University of Illinois, October; NSF/NBER Time Series Conference, Northwestern University, October.

W. Kip Viscusi: American Enterprise Institute Conference on fiscal Federalism, work on state responsibility for hazard warnings, March; served as faculty member in course on science and liability for Federal judges, George Mason School of Law, April, May; presented "Discounting Health Effects for Medical Decisions," Vanderbilt, September; presented "Communication of Ambiguous Risk Information," Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, September; attended Executive Session on Workers' Compensation, Kennedy School--session run by former U.S. Secretary of Labor John Dunlop, included over 30 union leaders, insurance industry presidents and high- level officials, September; Brookings Institution Microeconomic Conference, December.

GRANTS

James Baumgardner: "Empirical Model of Practice Styles in Ambulatory Care," Agency for Health Care Policy Research, 1992-1994, $69,540.

Philip Cook: "Causes and Effects of Youthful Drinking," National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, 1992-1994.

Thomas Havrilesky: Won NSF grant for $60,000 to study "Political Influences on Monetary Policy."

Robert C. Marshall: Pew Charitable Trusts, "Decentralized Oversight of Procurement and Pricing."

George Tauchen: Second year of NSF grant, "Extension and Applications of SNP Models for Multiple Time Series."

W. Kip Viscusi: Completed work on NSF Grant on the performance of liability insurance markets; continued work on two-year EPA grant on risk ambiguity; received three EPA research grants to continue research on environmental risks and global warming.


Bowden, Duke Ph.D., Named Adams Professor at Appalachian State

Elbert V. Bowden, long-time banking professor in the Walker College of Business at Appalachian State University, has been named the Alfred T. Adams Professor of Banking.

Bowden received his Ph.D. in Economics from Duke in 1957.

First Union Foundations recent endowment links Adams, recently honored for 50 years' service as a banker in Northwestern North Carolina, and Bowden, chair of banking in Appalachian State's department of finance, insurance, and real estate since 1977.

Bowden serves as editor of Economic Outlook and is a frequent speaker on banking and the economy. Appalachian State is the only university in North Carolina to offer an undergraduate major in banking. The program focuses on banking as a career, with most of its graduates being recruited by in-state banks.

Bowden said the Adams Professorship will allow the program to continue its focus on banking education.

Bowden spoke in glowing terms of Adams, describing him as "a guiding light to the program." Bowden said Adams "continues to speak to my classes each semester and to serve as an advisor to my students."


More Miscellaneous Notes and News

Mitra Urges Indian Liberalization

Amit Mitra, a 1978 Duke Economics Ph.D., returned finally to his home in New Delhi, India, during the last year, after a successful career in academics in the United States.

The director of the Policy Unit of the Business India Group, Mitra set up a "think tank" whose purpose was to push the government of India to liberalize the Indian economy. Within eight months of setting up the Policy Unit, the government of India began to liberalize at a hectic pace.

Mitra regularly writes a column for Business India, the second largest English-language magazine in India with a readership of 500,000.

Baldwin Wins Fellowship

Graduate student Laura Baldwin has been awarded the Katherine Stern Dissertation Fellowship.

Regulation Text Corners Market

Economics of Regulation and Antitrust, co-authored by W. Kip Viscusi, John Vernon, and Joseph E. Harrington, Jr., was published in 1992 by D.C. Heath & Company.

The textbook has already become the leading regulation text in use in colleges around the country. It has been adopted by over 40 schools, including every school in the Big Ten.

Vernon and Viscusi, of course, teach economics here at Duke, while Harrington, who teaches at Johns Hopkins, received his Ph.D. from Duke in 1984.

Pharmaceutical Program Extends Scope

The Duke Program in Pharmaceutical and Health Economics is undertaking international comparative studies of the pharmaceutical industry. During the summer of 1992, Professor Christine Huttin, of the University of Paris and the European Economic Community, worked at Duke with the Program's director, Professor Henry Grabowski.

Huttin commenced a study of generic competition in Europe patterned after work done in connection with Duke studies of the American pharmaceutical industry. Huttin has analyzed empirical data on generic competition for the United Kingdom.

Another study being conducted at Duke simulates the long-term effects of the 1984 Paten Restoration Act, attempting to predict the expected patent lives when all new drugs qualify for the full benefits of patent term restoration.

Viscusi Lists Guidelines

Professor W. Kip Viscusi prepared guidelines on the effect of regulatory expenditures on mortality for the Executive Offices of the President. The guidelines are to be implemented by the U.S. Office of Management and Budget, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs.

Undergrad Intern Program Initiated

The Department of Economics has established an in-semester for-credit internship for Economics Majors.

Designed to serve as a faculty-supervised, independent study, project, the internship program seeks to place interested students in a real, working-world environment. Firms in Durham and in the Research Triangle Park have agreed to participate.

Students engaged in an internship will meet once or twice a week during the semester on-site with the participating firm, engaging in whatever activity the firm requires. The intern will then translate that experience into an economic research project, which will be evaluated and graded by a member of the Duke Economics faculty.

Two student interns, senior Nicole Johnson and junior Jeffrey Leavitt, spent the Spring 1993 semester with Diener and Associates, a marketing firm in the Research Triangle Park.


Burkland Heads ODE

Jeff Burkland, a Trinity College senior, served as president of the Duke chapter of Omicron Delta Epsilon for 1992-93. Other officers in the economics honor society were Matt Shulman, Vice President; Brian Hilliard, Treasurer; and Tony Schopen, Secretary.

One of ODE's activities is the publication of the Duke Journal of Economics for undergraduates' papers. The 1992 edition, edited by David Fishman, Leigh Randall, and Robert Santangelo, featured the follow- ing articles:

"Comparative U.S.-Japanese Management Philosophies and Industrial Structures," by Thomas F. Carrier.

"Peru: How Export Based Success Led to Economic Disaster," by Colin Curvey.

"The Interest Elasticity of Savings: A History of the Debate," by Christen Bartelt and John Dell.

"Understanding the Savings and Loan Disaster and the Failure of Policy Oversight," by Chris Kempczin- ski.


Sloan and An Accept Economics Faculty Posts

Frank Sloan and Mark Y. An have joined the faculty of the Duke University Department of Economics.

Sloan accepted a senior appointment as Alexander McMahon Professor of Health Policy and Management. Sloan came to Duke from Vanderbilt University, where he had taught for 17 years. He also served as chairman of the Vanderbilt Economics Department from 1986-1989.

A 1969 graduate of the Harvard University Ph.D. program in economics, Sloan has served as a member of the National Infectious Diseases Council and National Council on Health Care Technology. He is a member of the National Academy of Sciences and the Institute of Medicine.

Professor Sloan will teach Health Economics.

An is a new graduate of the Ph.D. program at Cornell University, where he won the 1990 Liu Memorial Award. He has published more than a dozen research articles in Chinese, one of which earned him a Third-Prize Medal form the chinese Statistics Society. His research interests encompass econometrics, the analysis of labor market dynamics, and evolutionary economics. He will teach econometrics and microeconomics.

Prior to enrolling at Cornell, An served as Section Chief in the Ministry of Finance of the People's Republic of China from 1986 to 1988.


Pessino, McGrattan Resign Appointments

Carola Pessino and Ellen McGrattan, both Assistant Professors of Economics at Duke, have resigned their appointments.

Pessino was forced to resign in order to return to her native Argentina where she is caring for her mother, who has been ill.

McGrattan accepted a joint appointment with the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis and the University of Minnesota. She had spent the 1992-1993 academic year in Minneapolis, working on her research program.

A graduate of the doctoral program at the University of Chicago, Pessino's research focused on the demographics of sequential migration and family and gender differences in economic development.

McGrattan's efforts centered on the development of dynamic equilibrium models and numerical algorithms for analyzing business cycles and computing welfare costs of distortionary fiscal policy.


Leitzel Formulates Transition Course

Professor James Leitzel of the Terry Sanford Institute for Public Policy offered a new course during the Spring 1993 semester, "Issues in the Transition of Economic Systems." The course is cross-listed among Public Policy, Economics, and Comparative Area Studies.

The main focus on the course is on the ongoing Russian economic reform. "We've looked at various programs of privatization, price stabilization, military conversion, currency convertibility, and the like," Leitzel said.

Leitzel suggested that privatization in the former Soviet Union is occurring at too slow a pace. "No large enterprises have been taken out of the state umbrella," he said. "To my knowledge, not one large state enterprise has been shut down because it is losing money."

The effect of the transition to a market economy on the Russia must be examined with a clear evaluation of conditions prior to reform. "I am concerned with accurately gauging the pre-reform situation to better understand the effects of reform on inflation, employment, living standards, etc.," Leitzel said.

While focusing on the current Russian economic scenario, the course examined economic transitions in a more theoretical perspective. "Other specific transitions from socialism are addressed," Leitzel said, as well as, for example, "transitions from wartime to peacetime economies," as in the U.S. after World War II.


Chinese Economist Lin to Teach at Duke Economics in 1994

Chinese Economist Justin Yifu Lin will teach in the Duke Economics Department during the Fall 1994 semester.

Lin is currently an Associate Professor at Peking University, as well as Deputy Director of the Department of Rural Economic Development for the Chinese Government.

A 1986 graduate of the University of Chicago's Ph.D. program in Economics, Lin is an Adjunct Professor of economics at the Australian National University. The 40-year-old economist has recently taught at UCLA and at the University of Hong Kong. Lin has published extensively in both English- and Chinese-language periodicals, including "Rural Reforms and Agricultural Growth in China," American Economic Review, March 1992.


The Lewis Legacy: Becker Wins Nobel Prize

In 1941, Duke University Professor Richard Lester, writing in his text Economics of Labor, described labor as referring "either to those persons who live by selling their services directly to employers or to the services that they sell." Lester's institutional approach to economics, the accepted doctrine of his day, claimed "there are no 'labor' problems when persons work for themselves and sell the articles that they produce" (p. 3).

In 1992, University of Chicago Professor Gary Becker was awarded the Nobel Prize in Economics for his work in the loosely defined field of "labor economics." Becker was cited for his theoretical injection of economic analysis into nearly every aspect of human life, from human capital formation to discrimination to the very beginning of biological life -- (pardon the pun) maternal labor.

The man most responsible for the transformation of the consideration of labor as an institutional relationship between corporation and labor unions, collective good versus individual good, and a scientific analysis of individual labor/leisure and family choices using neoclassical techniques, was H. Gregg Lewis, Becker's dissertation supervisor.

Lewis died in January 1992. He had been an active member of the Duke Economics faculty since 1975, when he left the University of Chicago anticipating its mandatory retirement policy. He was named Emeritus Professor in 1984.

In a telephone interview with Economics at Duke, Becker recalled his days as Lewis' student. "He was a terrific person," Becker said. "I was very close to him and had a lot of admiration for him.

"He had a very large input into my dissertation. We met frequently, and I would bounce some things off him. He was very important to me."

Becker said Lewis was important for his development as an economist.

Becker described Lewis' impact on labor economics as enormous. "He pursued using modern economics to study labor economics." Becker suggested Lewis' contribution was "on the theoretical side," although he "was very empirically oriented."

In 1976, the Chicago-based Journal of Political Economy published a volume of essays in honor of Lewis, occasioned by his departure from Chicago after 40 years as an undergraduate, graduate student, and faculty member. In his introduction to the volume, Becker wrote: "Graduate students generally came to Chicago with the belief that labor economics was the home of institutionalism and of hostility to systematic theorizing. They were surprised and grateful to discover that neoclassical economic theory could be extremely useful in understanding trade union behavior, racial discrimination, wage differentials, hours of work, labor force participation, and other aspects of labor economics.... Lewis can rightly be called the founder of the 'Chicago School' of labor economics."

Gregg Lewis was not today's prototypical faculty member. For one thing, his door was always open to his students. If he was accessible, he was extremely demanding. Although Lewis was reputed to have mellowed as he grew older, according to Becker, "even when he was mellow he was a lot tougher than most professors."

For another thing, his publication record is sparse. His major contributions to the literature on labor economics was his 1963 book, Unionism and Relative Wages in the United States, which he supplemented in 1986 with Union Relative Wage Effects: A Survey, and a paper he co-authored with Becker, "On the Interaction between Quantity and Quality of Children," published in 1973 in the Journal of Political Economy. He also wrote two important papers which were published in Spanish but never in English: "Participation of the Labor Force and the Theory of Hours of Work," Revista de la acultad de Ciencias Economicas, 1968, and "Employer Interests in Employee Hours of Work," Caurdernos de Economia, 1969.

With the current emphasis on publication, one might wonder whether Lewis would be a successful academic economist. Becker described Lewis as a perfectionist, suggesting he "had the capability of writing more." He conceded "his lack of publication did slow down his promotions."

Since Lewis' most important contributions were his brilliant insights and his keen suggestions and criticisms of his students' works, Becker suggested a shrewd department "would find a way of keeping him."

Another Chicago Nobel laureate, George Stigler, in his Memoirs of an Unregulated Economist, suggested another Lewis attribute that indebted the University to him. "There was H. Gregg Lewis, the pillar of the economics department. He was the person who solved the administrative problems of the department and the academic problems of the students, all the while reconstructing labor economics in its modern form" (p. 159).

Lewis' impact on Duke will extend beyond his contributions to students' dissertations here (Leslie Laufer's dissertation in 1983, "Demand for Schooling for Boys and Girls in Rural India," was the last he supervised). Five current Duke economics professors earned their Ph.D.'s at Chicago. Two of them wrote their dissertations with Becker's input. Becker served on the dissertation examination committee of Jim Baumgardner (as well as that of recently-resigned professor Carolla Pessino); and Becker supervised Dennis Yang's dissertation.


Economics Enrollments Hold Steady

Economics held onto its ranking as the third most popular undergraduate major at Duke during the 1992-1993 academic year. Economics majors totalled 525, down slightly from 534 for the previous year. History remained the most popular course sequence, with 648 majors, while Biology rose, from 466 majors in 1991-1992 to 626 majors during the recently-completed term.

New matriculants in the Economics graduate program are expected to hold steady for the 1993-94 year compared with the preceding year, 35 to 34, respectively. The actual number of applications received for placement in the graduate program declined from 356 in 1992 to 311, probably due to an increase in the application fee (from $50 to $65), as well as a greater stress of quantitative skills in the graduate program descriptive literature. The Economics program ranked fifth among departments in the Graduate School in terms of number of applicants.


Economics Department Intramurals Dominate Opponents

Duke Economics' intramural athletic programs continue to flourish.

Led by captain Dixie Reaves and coach Brett Katzman, the flag football team won the fall 1992 regular-season recreational league championship, then won the playoffs for its third straight championship. The team entered the recreational league because Duke does not permit women to compete in the open league.

Reaves also organized teams in volleyball, basketball and softball.

The Economics entry won the Spring, 1993, two-pitch softball tournament, then went on to win the regular-season championship in the competitive division.

The Invisible Hands, the department's recreational-division softball team, won the championships in both the first 1992 summer session and the first 1993 summer session. The 1993 team went undefeated. The entry in the second 1992 summer session finished second in the league standings.


Treml Spends Spring 1992 At Moscow State U.

Professor Vladimir Treml spent the Spring 1992 semester as a Fulbright Exchange Professor at Moscow State University.

Treml taught an undergraduate course in macroeconomics, similar to Duke's Economics 51. The difficulties being encountered in the transition of Russia to a market-driven economy are reflected in the attitudes of Russian undergraduate students, according to Treml.

"They still will not accept western notions of economic principles," Treml said. "They don't accept the concept of a market economy." Treml said his students at Moscow State still use terms such as "just prices" and "just wages" when discussing economic phenomena.

Economic considerations aside, Treml discovered an unusual aspect of Russian education. "They're horrified at having to take written exams," he said. The Russian students were accustomed to one oral final exam at the end of a course, and even though Treml explained that he would give several written exams and a written final, the students did not take it well. "They were exceedingly unhappy when presented with very simple problems," Treml said.

While in Russia, Treml continued to collect economic statistics from various former Soviet republics. He also advised statistical agencies on ways to streamline their data collection.


Peter Parks, Resource Economics Head, Resigns

Peter Parks, Assistant Professor in the School of the Environment, has resigned his position at Duke.

Parks, who had been given a joint appointment in Economics for the 1992-1993 academic year, was the Chair of the new Resource Economics and Policy Program.

The courses offered by the School of the Environment which attracted Economics students -- Resource and Environmental Economics; Economic Analysis of Resource and Environmental Policies; Advanced Resource Economics; and Advanced Environmental Economics -- will continue to be offered.


Newsletter Staff

This edition of Economics at Duke was produced at the Department of Economics at Duke University. It was written primarily by Forrest Smith, with help from Rhonda Wioskowski, Anne-Marie Hobin, and Joyce Hemphill.

To receive up-to-date news from the Department of Economics, send email to: fls@econ.duke.edu.


We've Moved

To commemorate the one-hundredth anniversary of Trinity College's move from Randolph County to Durham, Duke has packed up its bags and moved again, and the Economics Department has gone with it.

Actually, we're still in the Social Sciences building on West Campus. But Duke has opted for taking over campus-wide distribution of U.S. Mail. As a result we've undergone a change of address.

Please address future correspondence to:

Duke University
Department of Economics
305 Social Sciences
Box 90097
Durham, NC 27708-0097

By the way, we underwent a change in our telephone system recently, too, and for those of you who haven't called recently, the Department's new telephone number is:

(919) 660-1800.

Finally, the Economics Department now has electronic mail capabilities. To contact the department by email, try the following address:

fls@econ.duke.edu