Allen C. Kelley

Professor Kelley joined the Duke Faculty in 1972. His Ph.D. is from Stanford University, where he concentrated in economic development, economic history, and demography. He has held regular or visiting appointments at the University of Wisconsin, Harvard, Stanford, Melbourne and Monash Universities in Australia, and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis in Vienna. At Duke he was awarded a James B. Duke Professorship in 1982; and from 1974 to 1980 he Chaired the Economics Department.

His research has focused on the consequences of demographic change in the Third World (e.g., impacts of rapid population growth on economic growth and structural change, and urbanization). This research has resulted in several books using computable general equilibrium models, as well as case studies of Japan and Egypt. Recent research has been on the determinants of Kenyan population trends (mainly fertility), urbanization in Africa, and the evolution of population ideas since 1950. Over the years Professor Kelley has also researched and written on the determinants of student learning at the undergraduate level, including evaluations of TIPS (Teaching Information Processing System), a computerized instructional system he developed.

Recent Research
The Impacts of Rapid Population Growth on Poverty, Food Production, and the Environment, in World Population Monitoring 1999, United Nations, 2000
Economic and Demographic Change: A Synthesis of Models, Findings and Perspectives (w/R.M. Schmidt), in Population Matters: Demographic Change, Economic Growth, and Poverty in the Developing World, Oxford, 2001
The Population Debate in Historical Perspective: Revisionism Revisited, in Population Matters: Demographic Change, Economic Growth, and Poverty in the Developing World, Oxford, 2001
Office Information
Office:
Phone:
Email:
Fax:
Office hrs:
 237 Social Sciences
(919) 660-1825
kelley@econ.duke.edu
(919) 684-8974
By appointment
Selected Publications
Dualistic Economic Development: Theory and History (co-authors), U. of Chicago Press, 1972
"TIPS and Technical Change in Classroom Instruction," Amer. Eco. Rev., 1972
What Drives Third World City Growth? A Dynamic General Equilibrium Approach (co-author), Princeton U. Press, 1984
"Economic Consequences of Population Change in the Third World," J. Econ. Lit., 1988
"Aggregate Population and Economic Growth Correlations: The Role of the Components of Demographic Change" (with R Schmidt), Demography, 1995
"Saving, Dependency and Development" (with R. Schmidt), Journal of Population Economics, 1996
[More] 		Course Descriptions
National Income and Public Policy (Econ 1D)
Global Issues in Population and Development (Econ 209S)
Economic Problems of Underdeveloped Areas (Econ 219S)



Links
Prof. Kelley's Vita
Prof. Kelley's Home Page

Duke Economics Department, WWW Resource.
Last modified: Mon Jun 16 10:34:01 EDT 2003